uncertainty model outcome uncertainty Oliver He classification to be confirmed https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1076/iaij.4.1.5.16466 Jinjing Guo Jie Zheng This is the accumulated uncertainty caused by the uncertainties in all of the above locations (context, model, inputs, and parameters) that are propagated through the model and are reflected in the resulting estimates of the outcomes of interest. prediction error 模型产出不确定性